Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 10.359700 11.972918 13.700084 15.680645 17.882627 20.249298 22.978824
2025-03-02 8.038999 10.092791 12.432447 15.274073 18.610029 22.379821 26.938595
2025-03-09 6.575803 8.864300 11.611717 15.110048 19.399856 24.441331 30.763019
2025-03-16 5.400231 7.774395 10.764183 14.734596 19.791494 25.936607 33.880030
2025-03-23 4.672183 7.132443 10.363686 14.813007 20.664454 27.975516 37.664329
2025-03-30 4.040686 6.524905 9.920038 14.754921 21.302278 29.690020 41.054327
2025-04-06 3.596800 6.116358 9.686672 14.926177 22.206653 31.738505 44.900827
2025-04-13 3.220881 5.755899 9.473671 15.084981 23.069442 33.731981 48.710359
2025-04-20 2.972190 5.556045 9.464058 15.510815 24.295146 36.228264 53.239686
2025-04-27 2.721691 5.321090 9.373936 15.798109 25.318677 38.464451 57.466743
2025-05-04 2.434825 4.990543 9.103601 15.787242 25.895251 40.083247 60.878988
2025-05-11 2.051023 4.445130 8.443324 15.128642 25.474788 40.267765 62.288957
2025-05-18 1.802180 4.111017 8.098321 14.937700 25.739466 41.434978 65.115550
2025-05-25 1.552848 3.742071 7.659476 14.560191 25.689469 42.129450 67.273208
2025-06-01 1.370611 3.477670 7.374381 14.407797 25.967947 43.298348 70.126980
2025-06-08 1.181364 3.171308 6.984744 14.048525 25.892288 43.923429 72.189455
2025-06-15 1.071900 3.017457 6.857960 14.124915 26.508338 45.596654 75.822453
2025-06-22 0.958287 2.837652 6.665071 14.069350 26.899094 46.928109 78.969527
2025-06-29 0.881134 2.729959 6.600501 14.234399 27.654484 48.835088 83.016462
2025-07-06 0.809997 2.626020 6.533356 14.387385 28.389835 50.724034 87.071691
2025-07-13 0.769751 2.592609 6.605069 14.797541 29.572325 53.341698 92.289750
2025-07-20 0.720257 2.528372 6.607001 15.074301 30.531396 55.623965 97.034826
2025-07-27 0.650884 2.400639 6.463498 15.063837 30.986772 57.106286 100.567096